Delphi

Open Access Article

1 - Supplier selection with the approach of combining Fuzzy Delphi Analytic Hierarchy Process (FDAHP) and Grey VIKOR methods
Mohammad Mahdi Mozaffari

The supplier selection is one of the most important issues in supply chain management discipline and it is regarded as an effective factor for companies to survive in the competitive environment. Selecting the best supplier among various suppliers, considering a mixture More

The supplier selection is one of the most important issues in supply chain management discipline and it is regarded as an effective factor for companies to survive in the competitive environment. Selecting the best supplier among various suppliers, considering a mixture of criteria that are sometimes in conflict, makes it a complicated multi-criteria decision making problem. On the other hand, supplier selection is highly dependent on the assessments of decision makers and according to the environmental dynamics and incomplete information available to decision makers, they are faced with some uncertainty in their assessments. The purpose of this paper is to present a model of multi-criteria decision making under uncertainty by using concepts of fuzzy and grey theories in order to select the optimal supplier. In this research, first, the weights of supplier selection criteria are determined by using fuzzy Delphi and analytic hierarchy process, then suppliers are ranked by using Grey VIKOR which is a newly developed approach in the field of multi-criteria decision making under uncertainty Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

2 - Identifying Evaluation Criteria for the Political Behaviors of Chief Administrative Officers at Bank Maskan Iran Using DEMATEL - Fuzzy Delphi Technique
Naser Poursadegh Rashid Zolfaghare zaferani Amir Rezaee

The role of effective and efficient management is becoming more important in today’s competitive world which is undoubtedly full of complexity, ambiguity, and uncertainty in challenging situations, competitions, and conflicts. People associate power with many advantages More

The role of effective and efficient management is becoming more important in today’s competitive world which is undoubtedly full of complexity, ambiguity, and uncertainty in challenging situations, competitions, and conflicts. People associate power with many advantages; therefore, they make many efforts to gain it in organizations. Battling for power raises the discussion of political behaviors in organizations. The aim of this study was to present a multi-index decision-making fuzzy hybrid model of qualitative analysis to identify the dimensions and indices of political behavior occurrence among CAOs at the branches of Bank Maskan in Tehran by using a fuzzy Delphi technique. Moreover, the decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) technique was employed to determine how influential and influenceable the indices were. The statistical population included 20 CAOs (Bank Maskan) with at least 10 years of executive and management experience. The research results indicated that Personal Characteristics became known as the most influential dimension with the highest value of (R-J) (1.244) among the evaluation criteria for political behaviors of CAOs at Bank Maskan. Moreover, Occupational Attitudes became identified as the most influenceable dimension according to the lowest value of (R-J) (1.358). Given the highest value of (R+J), Personal Characteristics interacted the most with other dimensions (1.244). Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

3 - Designing lay-off pattern of human resources in local organizations (Case study: Municipalities of Esfahan province)
محسن صانعی

The purpose of this research is to present a pattern regarding lay-off in local organizations (a case study about municipalities of Esfahan province) and also to analyze the impact of structural, behavioral and individual factors on lay-off and its aspects. The method u More

The purpose of this research is to present a pattern regarding lay-off in local organizations (a case study about municipalities of Esfahan province) and also to analyze the impact of structural, behavioral and individual factors on lay-off and its aspects. The method used to do this research is descriptive and correlative .The method used to collect information is mixed (qualitative and quantitative).In the first stage (qualitative approach), the subjects were 22 experts who had suitable information about the issue of lay-off. A lay-off pattern and the influential factors on lay-off were designed using the fuzzy Delphi method and also fuzzy logic. These two methods were used to have more correlation between the views of the experts. Then, in the quantitative part, a questionnaire was designed in order to evaluate the pattern and then after reviewing the validity of the questionnaire through Exploratory Factor Analysis, it was given to some managers who, based on Judgmental Sampling, had been chosen out of managers of branches and units of municipalities in Esfahan province. The relationships between components of the model were reviewed using structural equation model. The findings demonstrated that the hypotheses were confirmed and the effect of individual, behavioral and structural factors on lay-off, the mutual effect of behavioral and structural factors and also the effect of individual factors on structural and behavioral factors are meaningful and direct.To this end, municipalities can take the right decisions, which are based on the views of experts, about the time of lay-off, the branch or the people who are going to be laid off and also the influential resources in lay-off. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

4 - Determine and rank effective leadership components in cultural and art organizations through an Iranian Islamic approach using Fuzzy Delphi method.
Mohammad chakoshian reza sepahvand mahmoodreza esmaeili amirhoshang nazarpoori

Regarding the significance of culture and cultural and art organizations in the community cultural growth, and according to the leadership signifiacnce in the organizations, the present research is conducted to determine and rank effective leadership components in cultu More

Regarding the significance of culture and cultural and art organizations in the community cultural growth, and according to the leadership signifiacnce in the organizations, the present research is conducted to determine and rank effective leadership components in cultural and art organizations through an Iranian Islamic approach using fuzzy Delphi method. Research statistical population included managers of cultural organizations, cultural experienced management professors, as well as culture experts. 22 research samples were selected using purposeful snowball sampling method. Following literature review and research background and interviewing some experts, 22 components were identified and exposed to the experts through a questionnaire. All 22 components were verified through fuzzy Delphi method. Research results show that leadership components of insight, ethics orientation, religion orientation, tolerance, self-control, dependability, inspiring, refinement, seeking excellence, and finally growth and empowerment are ranked in order. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

5 - Designing and the Explanation of the Innovation Model in Production of the Food Products through a Study in the JAMM and ROZE TALAEE Food Products Industries Group
Ramezan Gholami Avati

Nowadays, everything is changing and transforming, and the competitors are seeking for increasing in their own market share through reaching to the competitive advantage. The considering of the innovation, as one of the alternatives for increasing in competitive advanta More

Nowadays, everything is changing and transforming, and the competitors are seeking for increasing in their own market share through reaching to the competitive advantage. The considering of the innovation, as one of the alternatives for increasing in competitive advantage within commercial dynamic environments and contexts, is an essential matter. On the other hand, there are various factors which are influential on the innovation. These factors, therefore, must be studied. Indeed, the purpose of the present research is designing and explanation of the innovation model in the production of food products. The methodology of the present study, in term of purpose, is an applied one, and in term of nature and method, is a descriptive-analytical study. Statistical population of the study includes the experts and managers of the JAMM and ROZE TALAEE Production and Packaging Industries Group. In the present research, after reviewing the literature, influential factors on the innovation process recognized and organized in three dimensions (behavioral factors, structural factors, and environmental factors). Research dada have been gathered and analyzed by using the questionnaire and Fuzzy Delphi Techniques and Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM). The results of ranking of the research variables using Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) test, after identification of the main variables, showed that the innovation performance, commerce, productivity, research and development (R&D), and venturing on the knowledge components as the most impressionable variables ranked in the upmost level, and the world economic streams and innovation policies components as the most influential variables ranked in the lowest level. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

6 - Identification the components of Distinguishing management using Delphi fuzzy technique
Seyyed Najmuddin Mousavi Ali shariat nejad

The present study aimed to provide distinguish management cpmponent for pharmaceutical companies using Fuzzy Delphi method. This research is a mix research with exploratory approach which in terms of quantitative and qualitative research in the field of methodology and More

The present study aimed to provide distinguish management cpmponent for pharmaceutical companies using Fuzzy Delphi method. This research is a mix research with exploratory approach which in terms of quantitative and qualitative research in the field of methodology and in terms of research philosophy includes deductive-inductive research. The statistical population of this study is all pharmacies, pharmacy companies in Lorestan province. In the qualitative section, the sample members of the research using a bullet-sampling method are selected and in the quantitative part of the research, they selected by Multi-stage cluster sampling. Since the present study is a mixed research with a quantitative and qualitative approach, both the interviewing tools and the questionnaire are used simultaneously. Regarding to analyze the research data, it should be noted that for analyzing qualitative data, the coding method and the ATLAS.TI software were used, also analysis in qualitative section with fuzzy Delphi were used. The results of the research show that the powerful knowledge chain in drug production, the use of medicinal plants, the dependence of the world's pharmaceutical companies on medicines and medicinal herbs, and the existence of a monopoly on the expertise in some of the drugs produced are most effective factors influencing for competitiveness of pharmaceutical companies. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

7 - Analysis of Service Supply Chain Anti-fragility in Iran Insurance Industry
Sayyed Maisam Momeni ahmadreza ghasemi meysam shahbazi Amir Safari

20.1001.1.22286047.1400.20.67.9.1

Anti-fragility allows the organisation to place itself in a position to benefit from the unknown. The purpose of this study is to identify and evaluate the indicators affecting the Anti-fragility of the insurance industry supply chain and to determine the causal relatio More

Anti-fragility allows the organisation to place itself in a position to benefit from the unknown. The purpose of this study is to identify and evaluate the indicators affecting the Anti-fragility of the insurance industry supply chain and to determine the causal relationships between these indicators. This study has been conducted through an exploratory mixed-method. The Delphi method and the Gray-DEMATEL technique have been utilized in this study. Insurance companies must implement indices, methods, and mechanisms to promote the anti-fragility of their supply chain, though simultaneous attention to all indices is impossible and uneconomic. Therefore, deciding which indices have priority in investment can be accomplished using the research findings and determining the significance of each index, as well as the causal relationships between them. According to the results of the Delphi method, 49 indices for anti-fragility of the supply chain insurance industry, hereunder the eight main processes, have been extracted. Study results also revealed that in order to lead the supply chain insurance industry towards anti-fragility, the "knowledge and information management" and "risk management" processes should at first be considered. According to expert opinions, the "management information system" and "knowledge management implementation" indices have been selected as the most causal indices of anti-fragility of the knowledge and information management process, while the indices of "risk strategy development" and "using the risk database" have been chosen as the most causal indices of risk management anti-fragility. Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

8 - Identifying key indicators affecting the quality of decision-making in business intelligence systems by delphi method and dematel technique
Payam Yaghli Tahmores Sohrabi سید علیرضا درخشان

20.1001.1.22286047.1400.20.67.15.7

In accordance with Simon's decision-making model, this study first tries to identify the key indicators of business intelligence systems as a set of technologies and processes enhancing the quality of decision-making system in organizations. Next, evaluates the existenc More

In accordance with Simon's decision-making model, this study first tries to identify the key indicators of business intelligence systems as a set of technologies and processes enhancing the quality of decision-making system in organizations. Next, evaluates the existence of causal relationship between the decision stages and the key indicators. To identify the key indicators of business intelligence in each stage of Simon's decision making model, this paper uses Delphi method.Open-ended questions and in-depth interviews were conducted by snowball method with18 experts in the field of development and implementation of business intelligence systems in financial organizations and the final indicators were extracted. The main indicators were identified after analyzing the cause-and-effect relationships between the existing relationships and each stage of the Simon model. This paper uses dematel technique to determine effective and influential relationships and by prioritizing indicators in terms of impact and effectiveness, the results discussed. Finally, executive proposals provided to individuals responsible for development and implementation of business intelligence systems in financial organizations. The findings support that owning a business analysis department in the organization has the most interaction with extracted key indicators. Based on Simon's decision-making model, creating, implementing, and monitoring key performance indicators (KPIs) play a key role in enhancing decision quality in business intelligence systems, For financial institutions, the quality of decisions plays a crucial role in their success in a competitive market. Therefore, the results obtained through this research can be used by those responsible for the development and implementation of business intelligence systems Manuscript profile

Open Access Article

9 - Presenting the structural model of the green human resource management implementation process using the fuzzy interpretive structural modeling method
mohammadhossein kabgani,

Green human resources management, as a strong tool that takes the role of human factors, can help organizations to fulfill their social responsibilities in order to protect the environment. This research has been carried out with the aim of systematically reviewing prev More

Green human resources management, as a strong tool that takes the role of human factors, can help organizations to fulfill their social responsibilities in order to protect the environment. This research has been carried out with the aim of systematically reviewing previous researches in the field of green human resources management, as well as identifying key elements and providing a structural model to implement the green human resources management process in the chemical and petrochemical industries of Bushehr province. By studying thematic literature and using the textual content analysis approach, six basic indicators were counted, and in order to localize them in order to implement green human resources management in the chemical and petrochemical industries, the Delphi technique was used in three rounds. The statistical population of the research was formed by managers and experts familiar with the subject and working in the field of petrochemical industries. A researcher-made questionnaire was used to collect data, and its validity and reliability were also confirmed. In order to design the structural model of the effective indicators for the implementation of the green human resources management process, the interpretive structural modeling approach in the fuzzy environment was used to manage linguistic ambiguities in judgments. The results of the modeling and analysis of Mik Mak showed that individual, group and organizational indicators are among the basic and influential indicators in the field of Sabza's human resources management; Therefore, managers are suggested to emphasize and pay more attention to this group of indicators. Manuscript profile

Current Issue

Published Issues

Menu

Browse

List of Articles Delphi